The slope b can be written as b = r ( s y s x ) b = r ( s y s x ) where s y = the standard deviation of the y values and s x = the standard deviation of the x values. The best fit line always passes through the point ( x ¯, y ¯ ) ( x ¯, y ¯ ). The sample means of the x values and the y values are x ¯ x ¯ and y ¯ y ¯, respectively. Where a = y ¯ − b x ¯ a = y ¯ − b x ¯ and b = Σ ( x − x ¯ ) ( y − y ¯ ) Σ ( x − x ¯ ) 2 b = Σ ( x − x ¯ ) ( y − y ¯ ) Σ ( x − x ¯ ) 2. Minimum, you have determined the points that are on the line of best fit. Using calculus, you can determine the values of a and b that make the SSE a minimum. This is called the Sum of Squared Errors (SSE). , 11.įor the example about the third exam scores and the final exam scores for the 11 statistics students, there are 11 data points. Here the point lies above the line and the residual is positive.įor each data point, you can calculate the residuals or errors, y i - ŷ i = ε i for i = 1, 2, 3. In the diagram in Figure 12.10, y 0 – ŷ 0 = ε 0 is the residual for the point shown. If the observed data point lies below the line, the residual is negative, and the line overestimates that actual data value for y. If the observed data point lies above the line, the residual is positive, and the line underestimates the actual data value for y. In other words, it measures the vertical distance between the actual data point and the predicted point on the line. The absolute value of a residual measures the vertical distance between the actual value of y and the estimated value of y. It is not an error in the sense of a mistake. The term y 0 – ŷ 0 = ε 0 is called the "error" or residual.
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